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Dans un communiqu\u00e9 diffus\u00e9 par le Haut-Commissariat des Nations unies aux droits de l\u2019Homme \u00e0 Gen\u00e8ve, les experts font \u00e9tat de r\u00e9unions coordonn\u00e9es en pr\u00e9sence de \u00ab conseillers russes \u00bb<\/em> et d\u2019\u00e9vacuations m\u00e9dicales de \u00ab formateurs russes \u00bb<\/em> bless\u00e9s vers les bases de la Minusca.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pr\u00e8s de 12 000 casques bleus de la force de maintien de la paix de la Mission de l\u2019ONU en Centrafrique sont pr\u00e9sents dans le pays depuis 2014, notamment pour prot\u00e9ger les civils, \u00e9viter les abus et lutter contre l\u2019impunit\u00e9.<\/p>\n","post_title":"RCA : des experts de l\u2019ONU s\u2019inqui\u00e8tent du r\u00f4le des paramilitaires russes","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"rca-des-experts-de-lonu-sinquietent-du-role-des-paramilitaires-russes","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4674","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"prev":true,"total_page":3},"paged":1,"column_class":"jeg_col_2o3","class":"epic_block_3"};
Les experts ind\u00e9pendants demandent la clarification du r\u00f4le des partenaires internationaux, ce qui permettrait de rendre des comptes. Ils mettent en garde contre \u00ab les contacts \u00e9troits \u00bb entre les personnels des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s militaires priv\u00e9es russes, notamment ceux du groupe Wagner, et les forces de l\u2019ONU, dont les t\u00e2ches sont d\u00e9finies par un mandat international.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Dans un communiqu\u00e9 diffus\u00e9 par le Haut-Commissariat des Nations unies aux droits de l\u2019Homme \u00e0 Gen\u00e8ve, les experts font \u00e9tat de r\u00e9unions coordonn\u00e9es en pr\u00e9sence de \u00ab conseillers russes \u00bb<\/em> et d\u2019\u00e9vacuations m\u00e9dicales de \u00ab formateurs russes \u00bb<\/em> bless\u00e9s vers les bases de la Minusca.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pr\u00e8s de 12 000 casques bleus de la force de maintien de la paix de la Mission de l\u2019ONU en Centrafrique sont pr\u00e9sents dans le pays depuis 2014, notamment pour prot\u00e9ger les civils, \u00e9viter les abus et lutter contre l\u2019impunit\u00e9.<\/p>\n","post_title":"RCA : des experts de l\u2019ONU s\u2019inqui\u00e8tent du r\u00f4le des paramilitaires russes","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"rca-des-experts-de-lonu-sinquietent-du-role-des-paramilitaires-russes","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4674","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"prev":true,"total_page":3},"paged":1,"column_class":"jeg_col_2o3","class":"epic_block_3"};
\u00ab Les liens \u00e9troits entre les diff\u00e9rents acteurs, ainsi que le manque de transparence, compromettent encore plus les chances de mener une enqu\u00eate impartiale \u00bb<\/em>, un groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU dans un communiqu\u00e9<\/p>\n\n\n\n Les experts ind\u00e9pendants demandent la clarification du r\u00f4le des partenaires internationaux, ce qui permettrait de rendre des comptes. Ils mettent en garde contre \u00ab les contacts \u00e9troits \u00bb entre les personnels des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s militaires priv\u00e9es russes, notamment ceux du groupe Wagner, et les forces de l\u2019ONU, dont les t\u00e2ches sont d\u00e9finies par un mandat international.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Dans un communiqu\u00e9 diffus\u00e9 par le Haut-Commissariat des Nations unies aux droits de l\u2019Homme \u00e0 Gen\u00e8ve, les experts font \u00e9tat de r\u00e9unions coordonn\u00e9es en pr\u00e9sence de \u00ab conseillers russes \u00bb<\/em> et d\u2019\u00e9vacuations m\u00e9dicales de \u00ab formateurs russes \u00bb<\/em> bless\u00e9s vers les bases de la Minusca.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pr\u00e8s de 12 000 casques bleus de la force de maintien de la paix de la Mission de l\u2019ONU en Centrafrique sont pr\u00e9sents dans le pays depuis 2014, notamment pour prot\u00e9ger les civils, \u00e9viter les abus et lutter contre l\u2019impunit\u00e9.<\/p>\n","post_title":"RCA : des experts de l\u2019ONU s\u2019inqui\u00e8tent du r\u00f4le des paramilitaires russes","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"rca-des-experts-de-lonu-sinquietent-du-role-des-paramilitaires-russes","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4674","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"prev":true,"total_page":3},"paged":1,"column_class":"jeg_col_2o3","class":"epic_block_3"};
Si les rapports \u00e9tudi\u00e9s par le groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU ne laissent aucun doute sur de graves violations des droits humains, il est tr\u00e8s difficile d\u2019en \u00e9tablir les responsabilit\u00e9s. Le groupe de travail sur les mercenaires d\u00e9plore le manque de cadre, l\u2019absence d\u2019enqu\u00eates et se dit profond\u00e9ment pr\u00e9occup\u00e9 par le m\u00e9lange des genres entre les op\u00e9rations civiles, militaires et celles de maintien de la paix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00ab Les liens \u00e9troits entre les diff\u00e9rents acteurs, ainsi que le manque de transparence, compromettent encore plus les chances de mener une enqu\u00eate impartiale \u00bb<\/em>, un groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU dans un communiqu\u00e9<\/p>\n\n\n\n Les experts ind\u00e9pendants demandent la clarification du r\u00f4le des partenaires internationaux, ce qui permettrait de rendre des comptes. Ils mettent en garde contre \u00ab les contacts \u00e9troits \u00bb entre les personnels des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s militaires priv\u00e9es russes, notamment ceux du groupe Wagner, et les forces de l\u2019ONU, dont les t\u00e2ches sont d\u00e9finies par un mandat international.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Dans un communiqu\u00e9 diffus\u00e9 par le Haut-Commissariat des Nations unies aux droits de l\u2019Homme \u00e0 Gen\u00e8ve, les experts font \u00e9tat de r\u00e9unions coordonn\u00e9es en pr\u00e9sence de \u00ab conseillers russes \u00bb<\/em> et d\u2019\u00e9vacuations m\u00e9dicales de \u00ab formateurs russes \u00bb<\/em> bless\u00e9s vers les bases de la Minusca.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pr\u00e8s de 12 000 casques bleus de la force de maintien de la paix de la Mission de l\u2019ONU en Centrafrique sont pr\u00e9sents dans le pays depuis 2014, notamment pour prot\u00e9ger les civils, \u00e9viter les abus et lutter contre l\u2019impunit\u00e9.<\/p>\n","post_title":"RCA : des experts de l\u2019ONU s\u2019inqui\u00e8tent du r\u00f4le des paramilitaires russes","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"rca-des-experts-de-lonu-sinquietent-du-role-des-paramilitaires-russes","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4674","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"prev":true,"total_page":3},"paged":1,"column_class":"jeg_col_2o3","class":"epic_block_3"};
Mais les conditions d\u2019intervention et le r\u00f4le exact des agents russes ne sont pas clairement d\u00e9finis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Si les rapports \u00e9tudi\u00e9s par le groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU ne laissent aucun doute sur de graves violations des droits humains, il est tr\u00e8s difficile d\u2019en \u00e9tablir les responsabilit\u00e9s. Le groupe de travail sur les mercenaires d\u00e9plore le manque de cadre, l\u2019absence d\u2019enqu\u00eates et se dit profond\u00e9ment pr\u00e9occup\u00e9 par le m\u00e9lange des genres entre les op\u00e9rations civiles, militaires et celles de maintien de la paix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00ab Les liens \u00e9troits entre les diff\u00e9rents acteurs, ainsi que le manque de transparence, compromettent encore plus les chances de mener une enqu\u00eate impartiale \u00bb<\/em>, un groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU dans un communiqu\u00e9<\/p>\n\n\n\n Les experts ind\u00e9pendants demandent la clarification du r\u00f4le des partenaires internationaux, ce qui permettrait de rendre des comptes. Ils mettent en garde contre \u00ab les contacts \u00e9troits \u00bb entre les personnels des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s militaires priv\u00e9es russes, notamment ceux du groupe Wagner, et les forces de l\u2019ONU, dont les t\u00e2ches sont d\u00e9finies par un mandat international.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Dans un communiqu\u00e9 diffus\u00e9 par le Haut-Commissariat des Nations unies aux droits de l\u2019Homme \u00e0 Gen\u00e8ve, les experts font \u00e9tat de r\u00e9unions coordonn\u00e9es en pr\u00e9sence de \u00ab conseillers russes \u00bb<\/em> et d\u2019\u00e9vacuations m\u00e9dicales de \u00ab formateurs russes \u00bb<\/em> bless\u00e9s vers les bases de la Minusca.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pr\u00e8s de 12 000 casques bleus de la force de maintien de la paix de la Mission de l\u2019ONU en Centrafrique sont pr\u00e9sents dans le pays depuis 2014, notamment pour prot\u00e9ger les civils, \u00e9viter les abus et lutter contre l\u2019impunit\u00e9.<\/p>\n","post_title":"RCA : des experts de l\u2019ONU s\u2019inqui\u00e8tent du r\u00f4le des paramilitaires russes","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"rca-des-experts-de-lonu-sinquietent-du-role-des-paramilitaires-russes","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4674","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"prev":true,"total_page":3},"paged":1,"column_class":"jeg_col_2o3","class":"epic_block_3"};
Ces exactions auraient eu lieu ces derniers mois dans le cadre d\u2019une contre-offensive visant \u00e0 sauver le pouvoir du pr\u00e9sident Faustin Archange Touad\u00e9ra. Les forces gouvernementales, assist\u00e9es par leurs alli\u00e9s rwandais et russes, ont r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 repousser l\u2019avanc\u00e9e des rebelles et lib\u00e9rer la plupart des villes occup\u00e9es en d\u00e9cembre par les groupes arm\u00e9s qui contr\u00f4lent d\u00e9j\u00e0 les deux-tiers du pays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Mais les conditions d\u2019intervention et le r\u00f4le exact des agents russes ne sont pas clairement d\u00e9finis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Si les rapports \u00e9tudi\u00e9s par le groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU ne laissent aucun doute sur de graves violations des droits humains, il est tr\u00e8s difficile d\u2019en \u00e9tablir les responsabilit\u00e9s. Le groupe de travail sur les mercenaires d\u00e9plore le manque de cadre, l\u2019absence d\u2019enqu\u00eates et se dit profond\u00e9ment pr\u00e9occup\u00e9 par le m\u00e9lange des genres entre les op\u00e9rations civiles, militaires et celles de maintien de la paix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00ab Les liens \u00e9troits entre les diff\u00e9rents acteurs, ainsi que le manque de transparence, compromettent encore plus les chances de mener une enqu\u00eate impartiale \u00bb<\/em>, un groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU dans un communiqu\u00e9<\/p>\n\n\n\n Les experts ind\u00e9pendants demandent la clarification du r\u00f4le des partenaires internationaux, ce qui permettrait de rendre des comptes. Ils mettent en garde contre \u00ab les contacts \u00e9troits \u00bb entre les personnels des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s militaires priv\u00e9es russes, notamment ceux du groupe Wagner, et les forces de l\u2019ONU, dont les t\u00e2ches sont d\u00e9finies par un mandat international.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Dans un communiqu\u00e9 diffus\u00e9 par le Haut-Commissariat des Nations unies aux droits de l\u2019Homme \u00e0 Gen\u00e8ve, les experts font \u00e9tat de r\u00e9unions coordonn\u00e9es en pr\u00e9sence de \u00ab conseillers russes \u00bb<\/em> et d\u2019\u00e9vacuations m\u00e9dicales de \u00ab formateurs russes \u00bb<\/em> bless\u00e9s vers les bases de la Minusca.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pr\u00e8s de 12 000 casques bleus de la force de maintien de la paix de la Mission de l\u2019ONU en Centrafrique sont pr\u00e9sents dans le pays depuis 2014, notamment pour prot\u00e9ger les civils, \u00e9viter les abus et lutter contre l\u2019impunit\u00e9.<\/p>\n","post_title":"RCA : des experts de l\u2019ONU s\u2019inqui\u00e8tent du r\u00f4le des paramilitaires russes","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"rca-des-experts-de-lonu-sinquietent-du-role-des-paramilitaires-russes","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4674","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"prev":true,"total_page":3},"paged":1,"column_class":"jeg_col_2o3","class":"epic_block_3"};
\u00ab Des informations font \u00e9tat d\u2019ex\u00e9cutions sommaires massives, de d\u00e9tentions arbitraires, de torture pendant les interrogatoires, de disparitions forc\u00e9es\u2026 \u00bb, souligne un groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU dans un communiqu\u00e9<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ces exactions auraient eu lieu ces derniers mois dans le cadre d\u2019une contre-offensive visant \u00e0 sauver le pouvoir du pr\u00e9sident Faustin Archange Touad\u00e9ra. Les forces gouvernementales, assist\u00e9es par leurs alli\u00e9s rwandais et russes, ont r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 repousser l\u2019avanc\u00e9e des rebelles et lib\u00e9rer la plupart des villes occup\u00e9es en d\u00e9cembre par les groupes arm\u00e9s qui contr\u00f4lent d\u00e9j\u00e0 les deux-tiers du pays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Mais les conditions d\u2019intervention et le r\u00f4le exact des agents russes ne sont pas clairement d\u00e9finis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Si les rapports \u00e9tudi\u00e9s par le groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU ne laissent aucun doute sur de graves violations des droits humains, il est tr\u00e8s difficile d\u2019en \u00e9tablir les responsabilit\u00e9s. Le groupe de travail sur les mercenaires d\u00e9plore le manque de cadre, l\u2019absence d\u2019enqu\u00eates et se dit profond\u00e9ment pr\u00e9occup\u00e9 par le m\u00e9lange des genres entre les op\u00e9rations civiles, militaires et celles de maintien de la paix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00ab Les liens \u00e9troits entre les diff\u00e9rents acteurs, ainsi que le manque de transparence, compromettent encore plus les chances de mener une enqu\u00eate impartiale \u00bb<\/em>, un groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU dans un communiqu\u00e9<\/p>\n\n\n\n Les experts ind\u00e9pendants demandent la clarification du r\u00f4le des partenaires internationaux, ce qui permettrait de rendre des comptes. Ils mettent en garde contre \u00ab les contacts \u00e9troits \u00bb entre les personnels des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s militaires priv\u00e9es russes, notamment ceux du groupe Wagner, et les forces de l\u2019ONU, dont les t\u00e2ches sont d\u00e9finies par un mandat international.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Dans un communiqu\u00e9 diffus\u00e9 par le Haut-Commissariat des Nations unies aux droits de l\u2019Homme \u00e0 Gen\u00e8ve, les experts font \u00e9tat de r\u00e9unions coordonn\u00e9es en pr\u00e9sence de \u00ab conseillers russes \u00bb<\/em> et d\u2019\u00e9vacuations m\u00e9dicales de \u00ab formateurs russes \u00bb<\/em> bless\u00e9s vers les bases de la Minusca.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pr\u00e8s de 12 000 casques bleus de la force de maintien de la paix de la Mission de l\u2019ONU en Centrafrique sont pr\u00e9sents dans le pays depuis 2014, notamment pour prot\u00e9ger les civils, \u00e9viter les abus et lutter contre l\u2019impunit\u00e9.<\/p>\n","post_title":"RCA : des experts de l\u2019ONU s\u2019inqui\u00e8tent du r\u00f4le des paramilitaires russes","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"rca-des-experts-de-lonu-sinquietent-du-role-des-paramilitaires-russes","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4674","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"prev":true,"total_page":3},"paged":1,"column_class":"jeg_col_2o3","class":"epic_block_3"};
Mercenaires, agents priv\u00e9s, instructeurs\u2026 Les noms changent pour d\u00e9signer les paramilitaires russes en mission en Centrafrique. Ils sont dans le pays \u00e0 la demande du pouvoir et leur mission vise officiellement \u00e0 former les forces arm\u00e9es centrafricaines. Mais depuis plusieurs semaines, des rapports d\u00e9noncent de graves violations des droits de l\u2019Homme imputables aux soci\u00e9t\u00e9s militaires priv\u00e9es russes lors d\u2019op\u00e9rations conjointes avec des soldats centrafricains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00ab Des informations font \u00e9tat d\u2019ex\u00e9cutions sommaires massives, de d\u00e9tentions arbitraires, de torture pendant les interrogatoires, de disparitions forc\u00e9es\u2026 \u00bb, souligne un groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU dans un communiqu\u00e9<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ces exactions auraient eu lieu ces derniers mois dans le cadre d\u2019une contre-offensive visant \u00e0 sauver le pouvoir du pr\u00e9sident Faustin Archange Touad\u00e9ra. Les forces gouvernementales, assist\u00e9es par leurs alli\u00e9s rwandais et russes, ont r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 repousser l\u2019avanc\u00e9e des rebelles et lib\u00e9rer la plupart des villes occup\u00e9es en d\u00e9cembre par les groupes arm\u00e9s qui contr\u00f4lent d\u00e9j\u00e0 les deux-tiers du pays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Mais les conditions d\u2019intervention et le r\u00f4le exact des agents russes ne sont pas clairement d\u00e9finis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Si les rapports \u00e9tudi\u00e9s par le groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU ne laissent aucun doute sur de graves violations des droits humains, il est tr\u00e8s difficile d\u2019en \u00e9tablir les responsabilit\u00e9s. Le groupe de travail sur les mercenaires d\u00e9plore le manque de cadre, l\u2019absence d\u2019enqu\u00eates et se dit profond\u00e9ment pr\u00e9occup\u00e9 par le m\u00e9lange des genres entre les op\u00e9rations civiles, militaires et celles de maintien de la paix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00ab Les liens \u00e9troits entre les diff\u00e9rents acteurs, ainsi que le manque de transparence, compromettent encore plus les chances de mener une enqu\u00eate impartiale \u00bb<\/em>, un groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU dans un communiqu\u00e9<\/p>\n\n\n\n Les experts ind\u00e9pendants demandent la clarification du r\u00f4le des partenaires internationaux, ce qui permettrait de rendre des comptes. Ils mettent en garde contre \u00ab les contacts \u00e9troits \u00bb entre les personnels des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s militaires priv\u00e9es russes, notamment ceux du groupe Wagner, et les forces de l\u2019ONU, dont les t\u00e2ches sont d\u00e9finies par un mandat international.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Dans un communiqu\u00e9 diffus\u00e9 par le Haut-Commissariat des Nations unies aux droits de l\u2019Homme \u00e0 Gen\u00e8ve, les experts font \u00e9tat de r\u00e9unions coordonn\u00e9es en pr\u00e9sence de \u00ab conseillers russes \u00bb<\/em> et d\u2019\u00e9vacuations m\u00e9dicales de \u00ab formateurs russes \u00bb<\/em> bless\u00e9s vers les bases de la Minusca.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pr\u00e8s de 12 000 casques bleus de la force de maintien de la paix de la Mission de l\u2019ONU en Centrafrique sont pr\u00e9sents dans le pays depuis 2014, notamment pour prot\u00e9ger les civils, \u00e9viter les abus et lutter contre l\u2019impunit\u00e9.<\/p>\n","post_title":"RCA : des experts de l\u2019ONU s\u2019inqui\u00e8tent du r\u00f4le des paramilitaires russes","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"rca-des-experts-de-lonu-sinquietent-du-role-des-paramilitaires-russes","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4674","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"prev":true,"total_page":3},"paged":1,"column_class":"jeg_col_2o3","class":"epic_block_3"};
Un groupe d\u2019experts des Nations unies s\u2019est alarm\u00e9 de l\u2019augmentation du recrutement et de l\u2019utilisation, par le gouvernement de la R\u00e9publique centrafricaine (RCA), d\u2019entreprises militaires et de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 priv\u00e9es \u00e9trang\u00e8res. En cause notamment de possibles exactions dans le cadre d\u2019une mission totalement opaque.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Mercenaires, agents priv\u00e9s, instructeurs\u2026 Les noms changent pour d\u00e9signer les paramilitaires russes en mission en Centrafrique. Ils sont dans le pays \u00e0 la demande du pouvoir et leur mission vise officiellement \u00e0 former les forces arm\u00e9es centrafricaines. Mais depuis plusieurs semaines, des rapports d\u00e9noncent de graves violations des droits de l\u2019Homme imputables aux soci\u00e9t\u00e9s militaires priv\u00e9es russes lors d\u2019op\u00e9rations conjointes avec des soldats centrafricains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00ab Des informations font \u00e9tat d\u2019ex\u00e9cutions sommaires massives, de d\u00e9tentions arbitraires, de torture pendant les interrogatoires, de disparitions forc\u00e9es\u2026 \u00bb, souligne un groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU dans un communiqu\u00e9<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ces exactions auraient eu lieu ces derniers mois dans le cadre d\u2019une contre-offensive visant \u00e0 sauver le pouvoir du pr\u00e9sident Faustin Archange Touad\u00e9ra. Les forces gouvernementales, assist\u00e9es par leurs alli\u00e9s rwandais et russes, ont r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 repousser l\u2019avanc\u00e9e des rebelles et lib\u00e9rer la plupart des villes occup\u00e9es en d\u00e9cembre par les groupes arm\u00e9s qui contr\u00f4lent d\u00e9j\u00e0 les deux-tiers du pays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Mais les conditions d\u2019intervention et le r\u00f4le exact des agents russes ne sont pas clairement d\u00e9finis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Si les rapports \u00e9tudi\u00e9s par le groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU ne laissent aucun doute sur de graves violations des droits humains, il est tr\u00e8s difficile d\u2019en \u00e9tablir les responsabilit\u00e9s. Le groupe de travail sur les mercenaires d\u00e9plore le manque de cadre, l\u2019absence d\u2019enqu\u00eates et se dit profond\u00e9ment pr\u00e9occup\u00e9 par le m\u00e9lange des genres entre les op\u00e9rations civiles, militaires et celles de maintien de la paix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00ab Les liens \u00e9troits entre les diff\u00e9rents acteurs, ainsi que le manque de transparence, compromettent encore plus les chances de mener une enqu\u00eate impartiale \u00bb<\/em>, un groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU dans un communiqu\u00e9<\/p>\n\n\n\n Les experts ind\u00e9pendants demandent la clarification du r\u00f4le des partenaires internationaux, ce qui permettrait de rendre des comptes. Ils mettent en garde contre \u00ab les contacts \u00e9troits \u00bb entre les personnels des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s militaires priv\u00e9es russes, notamment ceux du groupe Wagner, et les forces de l\u2019ONU, dont les t\u00e2ches sont d\u00e9finies par un mandat international.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Dans un communiqu\u00e9 diffus\u00e9 par le Haut-Commissariat des Nations unies aux droits de l\u2019Homme \u00e0 Gen\u00e8ve, les experts font \u00e9tat de r\u00e9unions coordonn\u00e9es en pr\u00e9sence de \u00ab conseillers russes \u00bb<\/em> et d\u2019\u00e9vacuations m\u00e9dicales de \u00ab formateurs russes \u00bb<\/em> bless\u00e9s vers les bases de la Minusca.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pr\u00e8s de 12 000 casques bleus de la force de maintien de la paix de la Mission de l\u2019ONU en Centrafrique sont pr\u00e9sents dans le pays depuis 2014, notamment pour prot\u00e9ger les civils, \u00e9viter les abus et lutter contre l\u2019impunit\u00e9.<\/p>\n","post_title":"RCA : des experts de l\u2019ONU s\u2019inqui\u00e8tent du r\u00f4le des paramilitaires russes","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"rca-des-experts-de-lonu-sinquietent-du-role-des-paramilitaires-russes","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4674","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"prev":true,"total_page":3},"paged":1,"column_class":"jeg_col_2o3","class":"epic_block_3"};
originally published:<\/em> 05 April 2021<\/strong> | origin:<\/em> https:\/\/www.journaldebangui.com\/rca-des-experts-de-lonu-sinquietent-du-role-des-paramilitaires-russes\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Un groupe d\u2019experts des Nations unies s\u2019est alarm\u00e9 de l\u2019augmentation du recrutement et de l\u2019utilisation, par le gouvernement de la R\u00e9publique centrafricaine (RCA), d\u2019entreprises militaires et de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 priv\u00e9es \u00e9trang\u00e8res. En cause notamment de possibles exactions dans le cadre d\u2019une mission totalement opaque.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Mercenaires, agents priv\u00e9s, instructeurs\u2026 Les noms changent pour d\u00e9signer les paramilitaires russes en mission en Centrafrique. Ils sont dans le pays \u00e0 la demande du pouvoir et leur mission vise officiellement \u00e0 former les forces arm\u00e9es centrafricaines. Mais depuis plusieurs semaines, des rapports d\u00e9noncent de graves violations des droits de l\u2019Homme imputables aux soci\u00e9t\u00e9s militaires priv\u00e9es russes lors d\u2019op\u00e9rations conjointes avec des soldats centrafricains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00ab Des informations font \u00e9tat d\u2019ex\u00e9cutions sommaires massives, de d\u00e9tentions arbitraires, de torture pendant les interrogatoires, de disparitions forc\u00e9es\u2026 \u00bb, souligne un groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU dans un communiqu\u00e9<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ces exactions auraient eu lieu ces derniers mois dans le cadre d\u2019une contre-offensive visant \u00e0 sauver le pouvoir du pr\u00e9sident Faustin Archange Touad\u00e9ra. Les forces gouvernementales, assist\u00e9es par leurs alli\u00e9s rwandais et russes, ont r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 repousser l\u2019avanc\u00e9e des rebelles et lib\u00e9rer la plupart des villes occup\u00e9es en d\u00e9cembre par les groupes arm\u00e9s qui contr\u00f4lent d\u00e9j\u00e0 les deux-tiers du pays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Mais les conditions d\u2019intervention et le r\u00f4le exact des agents russes ne sont pas clairement d\u00e9finis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Si les rapports \u00e9tudi\u00e9s par le groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU ne laissent aucun doute sur de graves violations des droits humains, il est tr\u00e8s difficile d\u2019en \u00e9tablir les responsabilit\u00e9s. Le groupe de travail sur les mercenaires d\u00e9plore le manque de cadre, l\u2019absence d\u2019enqu\u00eates et se dit profond\u00e9ment pr\u00e9occup\u00e9 par le m\u00e9lange des genres entre les op\u00e9rations civiles, militaires et celles de maintien de la paix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00ab Les liens \u00e9troits entre les diff\u00e9rents acteurs, ainsi que le manque de transparence, compromettent encore plus les chances de mener une enqu\u00eate impartiale \u00bb<\/em>, un groupe d\u2019experts de l\u2019ONU dans un communiqu\u00e9<\/p>\n\n\n\n Les experts ind\u00e9pendants demandent la clarification du r\u00f4le des partenaires internationaux, ce qui permettrait de rendre des comptes. Ils mettent en garde contre \u00ab les contacts \u00e9troits \u00bb entre les personnels des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s militaires priv\u00e9es russes, notamment ceux du groupe Wagner, et les forces de l\u2019ONU, dont les t\u00e2ches sont d\u00e9finies par un mandat international.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Dans un communiqu\u00e9 diffus\u00e9 par le Haut-Commissariat des Nations unies aux droits de l\u2019Homme \u00e0 Gen\u00e8ve, les experts font \u00e9tat de r\u00e9unions coordonn\u00e9es en pr\u00e9sence de \u00ab conseillers russes \u00bb<\/em> et d\u2019\u00e9vacuations m\u00e9dicales de \u00ab formateurs russes \u00bb<\/em> bless\u00e9s vers les bases de la Minusca.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pr\u00e8s de 12 000 casques bleus de la force de maintien de la paix de la Mission de l\u2019ONU en Centrafrique sont pr\u00e9sents dans le pays depuis 2014, notamment pour prot\u00e9ger les civils, \u00e9viter les abus et lutter contre l\u2019impunit\u00e9.<\/p>\n","post_title":"RCA : des experts de l\u2019ONU s\u2019inqui\u00e8tent du r\u00f4le des paramilitaires russes","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"rca-des-experts-de-lonu-sinquietent-du-role-des-paramilitaires-russes","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:35","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4674","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"prev":true,"total_page":3},"paged":1,"column_class":"jeg_col_2o3","class":"epic_block_3"};
originally published:<\/em> 02 April 2021<\/strong> | origin:<\/em> https:\/\/www.ochaopt.org\/poc\/16-29-march-2021<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n Long\u2013running dictatorships in Indonesia and Philippines were also overthrown by a combination of \u201cpeople\u2019s power\u201d and other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n I recall how many diplomats and analysts routinely expressed the same attitude toward East Timor\u2019s demands for independence, as if ending the Indonesian occupation was some absurd fantasy. I was told it would never happen. But by 2000 it had happened, and East Timor \u2013 now Timor-Leste \u2013 became the first new state of the 21st century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Long\u2013running dictatorships in Indonesia and Philippines were also overthrown by a combination of \u201cpeople\u2019s power\u201d and other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n Western analysts and risk consultancies have generally concluded that despite the bravery and tenacity of Myanmar\u2019s People Power, their struggle is doomed to defeat, given they are pitted against a ruthless military caste that has run the country for the last 70 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I recall how many diplomats and analysts routinely expressed the same attitude toward East Timor\u2019s demands for independence, as if ending the Indonesian occupation was some absurd fantasy. I was told it would never happen. But by 2000 it had happened, and East Timor \u2013 now Timor-Leste \u2013 became the first new state of the 21st century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Long\u2013running dictatorships in Indonesia and Philippines were also overthrown by a combination of \u201cpeople\u2019s power\u201d and other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n As the killing continues unabated and U.N. action is blocked by Russia and China, this idea could have a special relevance as Myanmar moves dangerously close to civil war. A new humanitarian crisis is looming along the Thai-Burmese border after a several air force planes bombed Karen villages<\/a> in zones patrolled by ethnic soldiers belonging to the Karen National Liberation Army. Thailand accepted 3,000 refugees on a temporary basis, but turned back another 2,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Western analysts and risk consultancies have generally concluded that despite the bravery and tenacity of Myanmar\u2019s People Power, their struggle is doomed to defeat, given they are pitted against a ruthless military caste that has run the country for the last 70 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I recall how many diplomats and analysts routinely expressed the same attitude toward East Timor\u2019s demands for independence, as if ending the Indonesian occupation was some absurd fantasy. I was told it would never happen. But by 2000 it had happened, and East Timor \u2013 now Timor-Leste \u2013 became the first new state of the 21st century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Long\u2013running dictatorships in Indonesia and Philippines were also overthrown by a combination of \u201cpeople\u2019s power\u201d and other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n However, South argues that R2P status could be applied to the only organizations currently protecting civilians in Myanmar \u2013 the EAOs. \u201cAs the U.N. seems unable to protect the people of Myanmar,\u201d South proposes<\/a>, \u201cit is imperative to recognize and support EAOs, who are struggling to provide assistance and protection both to ethnic nationality civilians targeted by the Myanmar Army, and to those fleeing from the SAC junta\u2019s murderous violence in the towns and cities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n As the killing continues unabated and U.N. action is blocked by Russia and China, this idea could have a special relevance as Myanmar moves dangerously close to civil war. A new humanitarian crisis is looming along the Thai-Burmese border after a several air force planes bombed Karen villages<\/a> in zones patrolled by ethnic soldiers belonging to the Karen National Liberation Army. Thailand accepted 3,000 refugees on a temporary basis, but turned back another 2,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Western analysts and risk consultancies have generally concluded that despite the bravery and tenacity of Myanmar\u2019s People Power, their struggle is doomed to defeat, given they are pitted against a ruthless military caste that has run the country for the last 70 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I recall how many diplomats and analysts routinely expressed the same attitude toward East Timor\u2019s demands for independence, as if ending the Indonesian occupation was some absurd fantasy. I was told it would never happen. But by 2000 it had happened, and East Timor \u2013 now Timor-Leste \u2013 became the first new state of the 21st century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Long\u2013running dictatorships in Indonesia and Philippines were also overthrown by a combination of \u201cpeople\u2019s power\u201d and other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n The hopelessly unrealistic expectations of a speedy U.N. intervention or ASEAN pressure to halt the bloodshed are fast fading. The R2P (responsibility to protect<\/a>) slogans seen on many protest posters and placards in the streets of Yangon represent a desperate appeal for U.N. humanitarian intervention, but so far the protocol has never been used to prevent to prevent crimes against humanity from taking place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, South argues that R2P status could be applied to the only organizations currently protecting civilians in Myanmar \u2013 the EAOs. \u201cAs the U.N. seems unable to protect the people of Myanmar,\u201d South proposes<\/a>, \u201cit is imperative to recognize and support EAOs, who are struggling to provide assistance and protection both to ethnic nationality civilians targeted by the Myanmar Army, and to those fleeing from the SAC junta\u2019s murderous violence in the towns and cities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n As the killing continues unabated and U.N. action is blocked by Russia and China, this idea could have a special relevance as Myanmar moves dangerously close to civil war. A new humanitarian crisis is looming along the Thai-Burmese border after a several air force planes bombed Karen villages<\/a> in zones patrolled by ethnic soldiers belonging to the Karen National Liberation Army. Thailand accepted 3,000 refugees on a temporary basis, but turned back another 2,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Western analysts and risk consultancies have generally concluded that despite the bravery and tenacity of Myanmar\u2019s People Power, their struggle is doomed to defeat, given they are pitted against a ruthless military caste that has run the country for the last 70 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I recall how many diplomats and analysts routinely expressed the same attitude toward East Timor\u2019s demands for independence, as if ending the Indonesian occupation was some absurd fantasy. I was told it would never happen. But by 2000 it had happened, and East Timor \u2013 now Timor-Leste \u2013 became the first new state of the 21st century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Long\u2013running dictatorships in Indonesia and Philippines were also overthrown by a combination of \u201cpeople\u2019s power\u201d and other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n If the junta cannot persuade the U.N. General Assembly to accept its credentials, that will be a huge victory for a CRPH parallel government. Even if China and Russia try to block this move, there could be a compromise option of leaving the seat vacant until democracy is restored.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The hopelessly unrealistic expectations of a speedy U.N. intervention or ASEAN pressure to halt the bloodshed are fast fading. The R2P (responsibility to protect<\/a>) slogans seen on many protest posters and placards in the streets of Yangon represent a desperate appeal for U.N. humanitarian intervention, but so far the protocol has never been used to prevent to prevent crimes against humanity from taking place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, South argues that R2P status could be applied to the only organizations currently protecting civilians in Myanmar \u2013 the EAOs. \u201cAs the U.N. seems unable to protect the people of Myanmar,\u201d South proposes<\/a>, \u201cit is imperative to recognize and support EAOs, who are struggling to provide assistance and protection both to ethnic nationality civilians targeted by the Myanmar Army, and to those fleeing from the SAC junta\u2019s murderous violence in the towns and cities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n As the killing continues unabated and U.N. action is blocked by Russia and China, this idea could have a special relevance as Myanmar moves dangerously close to civil war. A new humanitarian crisis is looming along the Thai-Burmese border after a several air force planes bombed Karen villages<\/a> in zones patrolled by ethnic soldiers belonging to the Karen National Liberation Army. Thailand accepted 3,000 refugees on a temporary basis, but turned back another 2,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Western analysts and risk consultancies have generally concluded that despite the bravery and tenacity of Myanmar\u2019s People Power, their struggle is doomed to defeat, given they are pitted against a ruthless military caste that has run the country for the last 70 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I recall how many diplomats and analysts routinely expressed the same attitude toward East Timor\u2019s demands for independence, as if ending the Indonesian occupation was some absurd fantasy. I was told it would never happen. But by 2000 it had happened, and East Timor \u2013 now Timor-Leste \u2013 became the first new state of the 21st century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Long\u2013running dictatorships in Indonesia and Philippines were also overthrown by a combination of \u201cpeople\u2019s power\u201d and other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n The U.N. report stated that \u201cMyanmar\u2019s top military generals, including Commander-in-Chief Senior-General Min Aung Hlaing, must be investigated and prosecuted for genocide in the north of Rakhine State, as well as for crimes against humanity and war crimes in Rakhine, Kachin, and Shan States.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n If the junta cannot persuade the U.N. General Assembly to accept its credentials, that will be a huge victory for a CRPH parallel government. Even if China and Russia try to block this move, there could be a compromise option of leaving the seat vacant until democracy is restored.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The hopelessly unrealistic expectations of a speedy U.N. intervention or ASEAN pressure to halt the bloodshed are fast fading. The R2P (responsibility to protect<\/a>) slogans seen on many protest posters and placards in the streets of Yangon represent a desperate appeal for U.N. humanitarian intervention, but so far the protocol has never been used to prevent to prevent crimes against humanity from taking place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, South argues that R2P status could be applied to the only organizations currently protecting civilians in Myanmar \u2013 the EAOs. \u201cAs the U.N. seems unable to protect the people of Myanmar,\u201d South proposes<\/a>, \u201cit is imperative to recognize and support EAOs, who are struggling to provide assistance and protection both to ethnic nationality civilians targeted by the Myanmar Army, and to those fleeing from the SAC junta\u2019s murderous violence in the towns and cities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n As the killing continues unabated and U.N. action is blocked by Russia and China, this idea could have a special relevance as Myanmar moves dangerously close to civil war. A new humanitarian crisis is looming along the Thai-Burmese border after a several air force planes bombed Karen villages<\/a> in zones patrolled by ethnic soldiers belonging to the Karen National Liberation Army. Thailand accepted 3,000 refugees on a temporary basis, but turned back another 2,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Western analysts and risk consultancies have generally concluded that despite the bravery and tenacity of Myanmar\u2019s People Power, their struggle is doomed to defeat, given they are pitted against a ruthless military caste that has run the country for the last 70 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I recall how many diplomats and analysts routinely expressed the same attitude toward East Timor\u2019s demands for independence, as if ending the Indonesian occupation was some absurd fantasy. I was told it would never happen. But by 2000 it had happened, and East Timor \u2013 now Timor-Leste \u2013 became the first new state of the 21st century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Long\u2013running dictatorships in Indonesia and Philippines were also overthrown by a combination of \u201cpeople\u2019s power\u201d and other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n However the clinching argument should be that the new head of state in Myanmar, Sen. Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, was cited as the general who ordered the ethnic cleansing<\/a> of the Muslim Rohingya in Myanmar\u2019s west, according to a U.N. Fact-Finding Mission report published in 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The U.N. report stated that \u201cMyanmar\u2019s top military generals, including Commander-in-Chief Senior-General Min Aung Hlaing, must be investigated and prosecuted for genocide in the north of Rakhine State, as well as for crimes against humanity and war crimes in Rakhine, Kachin, and Shan States.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n If the junta cannot persuade the U.N. General Assembly to accept its credentials, that will be a huge victory for a CRPH parallel government. Even if China and Russia try to block this move, there could be a compromise option of leaving the seat vacant until democracy is restored.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The hopelessly unrealistic expectations of a speedy U.N. intervention or ASEAN pressure to halt the bloodshed are fast fading. The R2P (responsibility to protect<\/a>) slogans seen on many protest posters and placards in the streets of Yangon represent a desperate appeal for U.N. humanitarian intervention, but so far the protocol has never been used to prevent to prevent crimes against humanity from taking place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, South argues that R2P status could be applied to the only organizations currently protecting civilians in Myanmar \u2013 the EAOs. \u201cAs the U.N. seems unable to protect the people of Myanmar,\u201d South proposes<\/a>, \u201cit is imperative to recognize and support EAOs, who are struggling to provide assistance and protection both to ethnic nationality civilians targeted by the Myanmar Army, and to those fleeing from the SAC junta\u2019s murderous violence in the towns and cities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n As the killing continues unabated and U.N. action is blocked by Russia and China, this idea could have a special relevance as Myanmar moves dangerously close to civil war. A new humanitarian crisis is looming along the Thai-Burmese border after a several air force planes bombed Karen villages<\/a> in zones patrolled by ethnic soldiers belonging to the Karen National Liberation Army. Thailand accepted 3,000 refugees on a temporary basis, but turned back another 2,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Western analysts and risk consultancies have generally concluded that despite the bravery and tenacity of Myanmar\u2019s People Power, their struggle is doomed to defeat, given they are pitted against a ruthless military caste that has run the country for the last 70 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I recall how many diplomats and analysts routinely expressed the same attitude toward East Timor\u2019s demands for independence, as if ending the Indonesian occupation was some absurd fantasy. I was told it would never happen. But by 2000 it had happened, and East Timor \u2013 now Timor-Leste \u2013 became the first new state of the 21st century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Long\u2013running dictatorships in Indonesia and Philippines were also overthrown by a combination of \u201cpeople\u2019s power\u201d and other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n There are various precedents for recognizing the CRPH as the legitimate government. The U.N. credentials committee will no doubt be reminded of the U.N. General Assembly verdict on the Cambodia seat in 1979 after the overthrow of the Khmer Rouge, and its ongoing recognition of a Cambodian coalition government in exile. This controversial precedent could be adapted to deny the U.N. seat to a regime that is driving Myanmar toward civil war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However the clinching argument should be that the new head of state in Myanmar, Sen. Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, was cited as the general who ordered the ethnic cleansing<\/a> of the Muslim Rohingya in Myanmar\u2019s west, according to a U.N. Fact-Finding Mission report published in 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The U.N. report stated that \u201cMyanmar\u2019s top military generals, including Commander-in-Chief Senior-General Min Aung Hlaing, must be investigated and prosecuted for genocide in the north of Rakhine State, as well as for crimes against humanity and war crimes in Rakhine, Kachin, and Shan States.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n If the junta cannot persuade the U.N. General Assembly to accept its credentials, that will be a huge victory for a CRPH parallel government. Even if China and Russia try to block this move, there could be a compromise option of leaving the seat vacant until democracy is restored.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The hopelessly unrealistic expectations of a speedy U.N. intervention or ASEAN pressure to halt the bloodshed are fast fading. The R2P (responsibility to protect<\/a>) slogans seen on many protest posters and placards in the streets of Yangon represent a desperate appeal for U.N. humanitarian intervention, but so far the protocol has never been used to prevent to prevent crimes against humanity from taking place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, South argues that R2P status could be applied to the only organizations currently protecting civilians in Myanmar \u2013 the EAOs. \u201cAs the U.N. seems unable to protect the people of Myanmar,\u201d South proposes<\/a>, \u201cit is imperative to recognize and support EAOs, who are struggling to provide assistance and protection both to ethnic nationality civilians targeted by the Myanmar Army, and to those fleeing from the SAC junta\u2019s murderous violence in the towns and cities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n As the killing continues unabated and U.N. action is blocked by Russia and China, this idea could have a special relevance as Myanmar moves dangerously close to civil war. A new humanitarian crisis is looming along the Thai-Burmese border after a several air force planes bombed Karen villages<\/a> in zones patrolled by ethnic soldiers belonging to the Karen National Liberation Army. Thailand accepted 3,000 refugees on a temporary basis, but turned back another 2,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Western analysts and risk consultancies have generally concluded that despite the bravery and tenacity of Myanmar\u2019s People Power, their struggle is doomed to defeat, given they are pitted against a ruthless military caste that has run the country for the last 70 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I recall how many diplomats and analysts routinely expressed the same attitude toward East Timor\u2019s demands for independence, as if ending the Indonesian occupation was some absurd fantasy. I was told it would never happen. But by 2000 it had happened, and East Timor \u2013 now Timor-Leste \u2013 became the first new state of the 21st century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Long\u2013running dictatorships in Indonesia and Philippines were also overthrown by a combination of \u201cpeople\u2019s power\u201d and other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n Despite being fired by the junta, Kyaw Moe Tun continues to work for U.N. recognition of the CRPH government. Many Myanmar diplomats abroad have also affirmed their allegiance to the ousted democratic government that appointed them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n There are various precedents for recognizing the CRPH as the legitimate government. The U.N. credentials committee will no doubt be reminded of the U.N. General Assembly verdict on the Cambodia seat in 1979 after the overthrow of the Khmer Rouge, and its ongoing recognition of a Cambodian coalition government in exile. This controversial precedent could be adapted to deny the U.N. seat to a regime that is driving Myanmar toward civil war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However the clinching argument should be that the new head of state in Myanmar, Sen. Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, was cited as the general who ordered the ethnic cleansing<\/a> of the Muslim Rohingya in Myanmar\u2019s west, according to a U.N. Fact-Finding Mission report published in 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The U.N. report stated that \u201cMyanmar\u2019s top military generals, including Commander-in-Chief Senior-General Min Aung Hlaing, must be investigated and prosecuted for genocide in the north of Rakhine State, as well as for crimes against humanity and war crimes in Rakhine, Kachin, and Shan States.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n If the junta cannot persuade the U.N. General Assembly to accept its credentials, that will be a huge victory for a CRPH parallel government. Even if China and Russia try to block this move, there could be a compromise option of leaving the seat vacant until democracy is restored.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The hopelessly unrealistic expectations of a speedy U.N. intervention or ASEAN pressure to halt the bloodshed are fast fading. The R2P (responsibility to protect<\/a>) slogans seen on many protest posters and placards in the streets of Yangon represent a desperate appeal for U.N. humanitarian intervention, but so far the protocol has never been used to prevent to prevent crimes against humanity from taking place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, South argues that R2P status could be applied to the only organizations currently protecting civilians in Myanmar \u2013 the EAOs. \u201cAs the U.N. seems unable to protect the people of Myanmar,\u201d South proposes<\/a>, \u201cit is imperative to recognize and support EAOs, who are struggling to provide assistance and protection both to ethnic nationality civilians targeted by the Myanmar Army, and to those fleeing from the SAC junta\u2019s murderous violence in the towns and cities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n As the killing continues unabated and U.N. action is blocked by Russia and China, this idea could have a special relevance as Myanmar moves dangerously close to civil war. A new humanitarian crisis is looming along the Thai-Burmese border after a several air force planes bombed Karen villages<\/a> in zones patrolled by ethnic soldiers belonging to the Karen National Liberation Army. Thailand accepted 3,000 refugees on a temporary basis, but turned back another 2,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Western analysts and risk consultancies have generally concluded that despite the bravery and tenacity of Myanmar\u2019s People Power, their struggle is doomed to defeat, given they are pitted against a ruthless military caste that has run the country for the last 70 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I recall how many diplomats and analysts routinely expressed the same attitude toward East Timor\u2019s demands for independence, as if ending the Indonesian occupation was some absurd fantasy. I was told it would never happen. But by 2000 it had happened, and East Timor \u2013 now Timor-Leste \u2013 became the first new state of the 21st century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Long\u2013running dictatorships in Indonesia and Philippines were also overthrown by a combination of \u201cpeople\u2019s power\u201d and other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n Myanmar\u2019s current ambassador to the United Nations, Kyaw Moe Tun, has lambasted the regime back home, making a passionate speech<\/a> urging the U.N. to use \u201cany means necessary to overturn the military coup.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n Despite being fired by the junta, Kyaw Moe Tun continues to work for U.N. recognition of the CRPH government. Many Myanmar diplomats abroad have also affirmed their allegiance to the ousted democratic government that appointed them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n There are various precedents for recognizing the CRPH as the legitimate government. The U.N. credentials committee will no doubt be reminded of the U.N. General Assembly verdict on the Cambodia seat in 1979 after the overthrow of the Khmer Rouge, and its ongoing recognition of a Cambodian coalition government in exile. This controversial precedent could be adapted to deny the U.N. seat to a regime that is driving Myanmar toward civil war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However the clinching argument should be that the new head of state in Myanmar, Sen. Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, was cited as the general who ordered the ethnic cleansing<\/a> of the Muslim Rohingya in Myanmar\u2019s west, according to a U.N. Fact-Finding Mission report published in 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The U.N. report stated that \u201cMyanmar\u2019s top military generals, including Commander-in-Chief Senior-General Min Aung Hlaing, must be investigated and prosecuted for genocide in the north of Rakhine State, as well as for crimes against humanity and war crimes in Rakhine, Kachin, and Shan States.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n If the junta cannot persuade the U.N. General Assembly to accept its credentials, that will be a huge victory for a CRPH parallel government. Even if China and Russia try to block this move, there could be a compromise option of leaving the seat vacant until democracy is restored.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The hopelessly unrealistic expectations of a speedy U.N. intervention or ASEAN pressure to halt the bloodshed are fast fading. The R2P (responsibility to protect<\/a>) slogans seen on many protest posters and placards in the streets of Yangon represent a desperate appeal for U.N. humanitarian intervention, but so far the protocol has never been used to prevent to prevent crimes against humanity from taking place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, South argues that R2P status could be applied to the only organizations currently protecting civilians in Myanmar \u2013 the EAOs. \u201cAs the U.N. seems unable to protect the people of Myanmar,\u201d South proposes<\/a>, \u201cit is imperative to recognize and support EAOs, who are struggling to provide assistance and protection both to ethnic nationality civilians targeted by the Myanmar Army, and to those fleeing from the SAC junta\u2019s murderous violence in the towns and cities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n As the killing continues unabated and U.N. action is blocked by Russia and China, this idea could have a special relevance as Myanmar moves dangerously close to civil war. A new humanitarian crisis is looming along the Thai-Burmese border after a several air force planes bombed Karen villages<\/a> in zones patrolled by ethnic soldiers belonging to the Karen National Liberation Army. Thailand accepted 3,000 refugees on a temporary basis, but turned back another 2,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Western analysts and risk consultancies have generally concluded that despite the bravery and tenacity of Myanmar\u2019s People Power, their struggle is doomed to defeat, given they are pitted against a ruthless military caste that has run the country for the last 70 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I recall how many diplomats and analysts routinely expressed the same attitude toward East Timor\u2019s demands for independence, as if ending the Indonesian occupation was some absurd fantasy. I was told it would never happen. But by 2000 it had happened, and East Timor \u2013 now Timor-Leste \u2013 became the first new state of the 21st century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Long\u2013running dictatorships in Indonesia and Philippines were also overthrown by a combination of \u201cpeople\u2019s power\u201d and other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n Meanwhile, a major international lobbying battle over which government will represent the people of Myanmar is likely unfold in the coming months leading to the annual U.N. General Assembly meeting in September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Myanmar\u2019s current ambassador to the United Nations, Kyaw Moe Tun, has lambasted the regime back home, making a passionate speech<\/a> urging the U.N. to use \u201cany means necessary to overturn the military coup.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n Despite being fired by the junta, Kyaw Moe Tun continues to work for U.N. recognition of the CRPH government. Many Myanmar diplomats abroad have also affirmed their allegiance to the ousted democratic government that appointed them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n There are various precedents for recognizing the CRPH as the legitimate government. The U.N. credentials committee will no doubt be reminded of the U.N. General Assembly verdict on the Cambodia seat in 1979 after the overthrow of the Khmer Rouge, and its ongoing recognition of a Cambodian coalition government in exile. This controversial precedent could be adapted to deny the U.N. seat to a regime that is driving Myanmar toward civil war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However the clinching argument should be that the new head of state in Myanmar, Sen. Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, was cited as the general who ordered the ethnic cleansing<\/a> of the Muslim Rohingya in Myanmar\u2019s west, according to a U.N. Fact-Finding Mission report published in 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The U.N. report stated that \u201cMyanmar\u2019s top military generals, including Commander-in-Chief Senior-General Min Aung Hlaing, must be investigated and prosecuted for genocide in the north of Rakhine State, as well as for crimes against humanity and war crimes in Rakhine, Kachin, and Shan States.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n If the junta cannot persuade the U.N. General Assembly to accept its credentials, that will be a huge victory for a CRPH parallel government. Even if China and Russia try to block this move, there could be a compromise option of leaving the seat vacant until democracy is restored.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The hopelessly unrealistic expectations of a speedy U.N. intervention or ASEAN pressure to halt the bloodshed are fast fading. The R2P (responsibility to protect<\/a>) slogans seen on many protest posters and placards in the streets of Yangon represent a desperate appeal for U.N. humanitarian intervention, but so far the protocol has never been used to prevent to prevent crimes against humanity from taking place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, South argues that R2P status could be applied to the only organizations currently protecting civilians in Myanmar \u2013 the EAOs. \u201cAs the U.N. seems unable to protect the people of Myanmar,\u201d South proposes<\/a>, \u201cit is imperative to recognize and support EAOs, who are struggling to provide assistance and protection both to ethnic nationality civilians targeted by the Myanmar Army, and to those fleeing from the SAC junta\u2019s murderous violence in the towns and cities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n As the killing continues unabated and U.N. action is blocked by Russia and China, this idea could have a special relevance as Myanmar moves dangerously close to civil war. A new humanitarian crisis is looming along the Thai-Burmese border after a several air force planes bombed Karen villages<\/a> in zones patrolled by ethnic soldiers belonging to the Karen National Liberation Army. Thailand accepted 3,000 refugees on a temporary basis, but turned back another 2,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Western analysts and risk consultancies have generally concluded that despite the bravery and tenacity of Myanmar\u2019s People Power, their struggle is doomed to defeat, given they are pitted against a ruthless military caste that has run the country for the last 70 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I recall how many diplomats and analysts routinely expressed the same attitude toward East Timor\u2019s demands for independence, as if ending the Indonesian occupation was some absurd fantasy. I was told it would never happen. But by 2000 it had happened, and East Timor \u2013 now Timor-Leste \u2013 became the first new state of the 21st century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Long\u2013running dictatorships in Indonesia and Philippines were also overthrown by a combination of \u201cpeople\u2019s power\u201d and other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n Russia and China, major arms suppliers to the Tatmadaw, attended the event, along with India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh. Among Myanmar\u2019s nine fellow member states of the Association of Southeast Nations (ASEAN), only Laos, Thailand, and Vietnam attended. Indonesia, Malaysia, and Singapore, which have expressed alarm over the shooting of unarmed demonstrators, were conspicuously absent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Meanwhile, a major international lobbying battle over which government will represent the people of Myanmar is likely unfold in the coming months leading to the annual U.N. General Assembly meeting in September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Myanmar\u2019s current ambassador to the United Nations, Kyaw Moe Tun, has lambasted the regime back home, making a passionate speech<\/a> urging the U.N. to use \u201cany means necessary to overturn the military coup.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n Despite being fired by the junta, Kyaw Moe Tun continues to work for U.N. recognition of the CRPH government. Many Myanmar diplomats abroad have also affirmed their allegiance to the ousted democratic government that appointed them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n There are various precedents for recognizing the CRPH as the legitimate government. The U.N. credentials committee will no doubt be reminded of the U.N. General Assembly verdict on the Cambodia seat in 1979 after the overthrow of the Khmer Rouge, and its ongoing recognition of a Cambodian coalition government in exile. This controversial precedent could be adapted to deny the U.N. seat to a regime that is driving Myanmar toward civil war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However the clinching argument should be that the new head of state in Myanmar, Sen. Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, was cited as the general who ordered the ethnic cleansing<\/a> of the Muslim Rohingya in Myanmar\u2019s west, according to a U.N. Fact-Finding Mission report published in 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The U.N. report stated that \u201cMyanmar\u2019s top military generals, including Commander-in-Chief Senior-General Min Aung Hlaing, must be investigated and prosecuted for genocide in the north of Rakhine State, as well as for crimes against humanity and war crimes in Rakhine, Kachin, and Shan States.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n If the junta cannot persuade the U.N. General Assembly to accept its credentials, that will be a huge victory for a CRPH parallel government. Even if China and Russia try to block this move, there could be a compromise option of leaving the seat vacant until democracy is restored.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The hopelessly unrealistic expectations of a speedy U.N. intervention or ASEAN pressure to halt the bloodshed are fast fading. The R2P (responsibility to protect<\/a>) slogans seen on many protest posters and placards in the streets of Yangon represent a desperate appeal for U.N. humanitarian intervention, but so far the protocol has never been used to prevent to prevent crimes against humanity from taking place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, South argues that R2P status could be applied to the only organizations currently protecting civilians in Myanmar \u2013 the EAOs. \u201cAs the U.N. seems unable to protect the people of Myanmar,\u201d South proposes<\/a>, \u201cit is imperative to recognize and support EAOs, who are struggling to provide assistance and protection both to ethnic nationality civilians targeted by the Myanmar Army, and to those fleeing from the SAC junta\u2019s murderous violence in the towns and cities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n As the killing continues unabated and U.N. action is blocked by Russia and China, this idea could have a special relevance as Myanmar moves dangerously close to civil war. A new humanitarian crisis is looming along the Thai-Burmese border after a several air force planes bombed Karen villages<\/a> in zones patrolled by ethnic soldiers belonging to the Karen National Liberation Army. Thailand accepted 3,000 refugees on a temporary basis, but turned back another 2,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Western analysts and risk consultancies have generally concluded that despite the bravery and tenacity of Myanmar\u2019s People Power, their struggle is doomed to defeat, given they are pitted against a ruthless military caste that has run the country for the last 70 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I recall how many diplomats and analysts routinely expressed the same attitude toward East Timor\u2019s demands for independence, as if ending the Indonesian occupation was some absurd fantasy. I was told it would never happen. But by 2000 it had happened, and East Timor \u2013 now Timor-Leste \u2013 became the first new state of the 21st century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Long\u2013running dictatorships in Indonesia and Philippines were also overthrown by a combination of \u201cpeople\u2019s power\u201d and other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n However the warning did not stop the representatives of eight countries from attending a Myanmar Armed Forces Day parade on March 27 \u2013 the same day the nation mourned the killing by police and military of 114 people, including bystanders and children.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Russia and China, major arms suppliers to the Tatmadaw, attended the event, along with India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh. Among Myanmar\u2019s nine fellow member states of the Association of Southeast Nations (ASEAN), only Laos, Thailand, and Vietnam attended. Indonesia, Malaysia, and Singapore, which have expressed alarm over the shooting of unarmed demonstrators, were conspicuously absent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Meanwhile, a major international lobbying battle over which government will represent the people of Myanmar is likely unfold in the coming months leading to the annual U.N. General Assembly meeting in September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Myanmar\u2019s current ambassador to the United Nations, Kyaw Moe Tun, has lambasted the regime back home, making a passionate speech<\/a> urging the U.N. to use \u201cany means necessary to overturn the military coup.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n Despite being fired by the junta, Kyaw Moe Tun continues to work for U.N. recognition of the CRPH government. Many Myanmar diplomats abroad have also affirmed their allegiance to the ousted democratic government that appointed them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n There are various precedents for recognizing the CRPH as the legitimate government. The U.N. credentials committee will no doubt be reminded of the U.N. General Assembly verdict on the Cambodia seat in 1979 after the overthrow of the Khmer Rouge, and its ongoing recognition of a Cambodian coalition government in exile. This controversial precedent could be adapted to deny the U.N. seat to a regime that is driving Myanmar toward civil war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However the clinching argument should be that the new head of state in Myanmar, Sen. Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, was cited as the general who ordered the ethnic cleansing<\/a> of the Muslim Rohingya in Myanmar\u2019s west, according to a U.N. Fact-Finding Mission report published in 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The U.N. report stated that \u201cMyanmar\u2019s top military generals, including Commander-in-Chief Senior-General Min Aung Hlaing, must be investigated and prosecuted for genocide in the north of Rakhine State, as well as for crimes against humanity and war crimes in Rakhine, Kachin, and Shan States.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n If the junta cannot persuade the U.N. General Assembly to accept its credentials, that will be a huge victory for a CRPH parallel government. Even if China and Russia try to block this move, there could be a compromise option of leaving the seat vacant until democracy is restored.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The hopelessly unrealistic expectations of a speedy U.N. intervention or ASEAN pressure to halt the bloodshed are fast fading. The R2P (responsibility to protect<\/a>) slogans seen on many protest posters and placards in the streets of Yangon represent a desperate appeal for U.N. humanitarian intervention, but so far the protocol has never been used to prevent to prevent crimes against humanity from taking place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, South argues that R2P status could be applied to the only organizations currently protecting civilians in Myanmar \u2013 the EAOs. \u201cAs the U.N. seems unable to protect the people of Myanmar,\u201d South proposes<\/a>, \u201cit is imperative to recognize and support EAOs, who are struggling to provide assistance and protection both to ethnic nationality civilians targeted by the Myanmar Army, and to those fleeing from the SAC junta\u2019s murderous violence in the towns and cities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n As the killing continues unabated and U.N. action is blocked by Russia and China, this idea could have a special relevance as Myanmar moves dangerously close to civil war. A new humanitarian crisis is looming along the Thai-Burmese border after a several air force planes bombed Karen villages<\/a> in zones patrolled by ethnic soldiers belonging to the Karen National Liberation Army. Thailand accepted 3,000 refugees on a temporary basis, but turned back another 2,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Western analysts and risk consultancies have generally concluded that despite the bravery and tenacity of Myanmar\u2019s People Power, their struggle is doomed to defeat, given they are pitted against a ruthless military caste that has run the country for the last 70 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I recall how many diplomats and analysts routinely expressed the same attitude toward East Timor\u2019s demands for independence, as if ending the Indonesian occupation was some absurd fantasy. I was told it would never happen. But by 2000 it had happened, and East Timor \u2013 now Timor-Leste \u2013 became the first new state of the 21st century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Long\u2013running dictatorships in Indonesia and Philippines were also overthrown by a combination of \u201cpeople\u2019s power\u201d and other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Clearly a precise replica of that end-game is not possible in the case of Min Aung Hlaing and his junta. However, the defections of more than 600 police officers<\/a> to the side of the CDM offers evidence that demoralization can happen side-by-side with brutal repression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In just two months it is hardly surprising that the protest movement, despite massively successful boycotts and a general strike, has yet to topple one of Asia\u2019s most entrenched and feared armed forces. But what they have achieved is the isolation of the regime, which is now floundering in a post-coup quagmire and hoping to somehow shoot their way out of the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n No one knows if there are army captains or colonels who enjoyed Myanmar\u2019s period of opening up and the economic growth of the last decade from 2011 until the coup \u2013 and are now seething with a secret anger. Are they quietly calculating the right moment to join the Spring Revolution, either as defectors or leaders of a mutiny?<\/p>\n\n\n\n What will be the end-game in Myanmar? It\u2019s too soon to tell, but history has taught us not to count out the determination of the people, whether in Myanmar, the Philippines, or Timor-Leste. It could still be that Min Aung Hlaing is the one left scrambling for an exit strategy when all is said and done.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Can Myanmar\u2019s Protesters Win?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"can-myanmars-protesters-win","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_modified_gmt":"2025-02-02 08:36:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/dctransparency.com\/?p=4727","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":4691,"post_author":"7","post_date":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_date_gmt":"2021-04-05 22:17:07","post_content":"\n The U.N. secretary general has strongly pledged to work for the restoration of democracy. His special envoy for Myanmar, Christine Schraner Burgener, has warned that<\/a> no country should recognize or legitimize the junta<\/p>\n\n\n\n However the warning did not stop the representatives of eight countries from attending a Myanmar Armed Forces Day parade on March 27 \u2013 the same day the nation mourned the killing by police and military of 114 people, including bystanders and children.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Russia and China, major arms suppliers to the Tatmadaw, attended the event, along with India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh. Among Myanmar\u2019s nine fellow member states of the Association of Southeast Nations (ASEAN), only Laos, Thailand, and Vietnam attended. Indonesia, Malaysia, and Singapore, which have expressed alarm over the shooting of unarmed demonstrators, were conspicuously absent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Meanwhile, a major international lobbying battle over which government will represent the people of Myanmar is likely unfold in the coming months leading to the annual U.N. General Assembly meeting in September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Myanmar\u2019s current ambassador to the United Nations, Kyaw Moe Tun, has lambasted the regime back home, making a passionate speech<\/a> urging the U.N. to use \u201cany means necessary to overturn the military coup.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n Despite being fired by the junta, Kyaw Moe Tun continues to work for U.N. recognition of the CRPH government. Many Myanmar diplomats abroad have also affirmed their allegiance to the ousted democratic government that appointed them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n There are various precedents for recognizing the CRPH as the legitimate government. The U.N. credentials committee will no doubt be reminded of the U.N. General Assembly verdict on the Cambodia seat in 1979 after the overthrow of the Khmer Rouge, and its ongoing recognition of a Cambodian coalition government in exile. This controversial precedent could be adapted to deny the U.N. seat to a regime that is driving Myanmar toward civil war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However the clinching argument should be that the new head of state in Myanmar, Sen. Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, was cited as the general who ordered the ethnic cleansing<\/a> of the Muslim Rohingya in Myanmar\u2019s west, according to a U.N. Fact-Finding Mission report published in 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The U.N. report stated that \u201cMyanmar\u2019s top military generals, including Commander-in-Chief Senior-General Min Aung Hlaing, must be investigated and prosecuted for genocide in the north of Rakhine State, as well as for crimes against humanity and war crimes in Rakhine, Kachin, and Shan States.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n If the junta cannot persuade the U.N. General Assembly to accept its credentials, that will be a huge victory for a CRPH parallel government. Even if China and Russia try to block this move, there could be a compromise option of leaving the seat vacant until democracy is restored.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The hopelessly unrealistic expectations of a speedy U.N. intervention or ASEAN pressure to halt the bloodshed are fast fading. The R2P (responsibility to protect<\/a>) slogans seen on many protest posters and placards in the streets of Yangon represent a desperate appeal for U.N. humanitarian intervention, but so far the protocol has never been used to prevent to prevent crimes against humanity from taking place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, South argues that R2P status could be applied to the only organizations currently protecting civilians in Myanmar \u2013 the EAOs. \u201cAs the U.N. seems unable to protect the people of Myanmar,\u201d South proposes<\/a>, \u201cit is imperative to recognize and support EAOs, who are struggling to provide assistance and protection both to ethnic nationality civilians targeted by the Myanmar Army, and to those fleeing from the SAC junta\u2019s murderous violence in the towns and cities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n As the killing continues unabated and U.N. action is blocked by Russia and China, this idea could have a special relevance as Myanmar moves dangerously close to civil war. A new humanitarian crisis is looming along the Thai-Burmese border after a several air force planes bombed Karen villages<\/a> in zones patrolled by ethnic soldiers belonging to the Karen National Liberation Army. Thailand accepted 3,000 refugees on a temporary basis, but turned back another 2,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Western analysts and risk consultancies have generally concluded that despite the bravery and tenacity of Myanmar\u2019s People Power, their struggle is doomed to defeat, given they are pitted against a ruthless military caste that has run the country for the last 70 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I recall how many diplomats and analysts routinely expressed the same attitude toward East Timor\u2019s demands for independence, as if ending the Indonesian occupation was some absurd fantasy. I was told it would never happen. But by 2000 it had happened, and East Timor \u2013 now Timor-Leste \u2013 became the first new state of the 21st century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Long\u2013running dictatorships in Indonesia and Philippines were also overthrown by a combination of \u201cpeople\u2019s power\u201d and other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In the case of the Philippines, the defection of Gen. Fidel Ramos and the defense minister expedited the downfall of the dictator President Ferdinand Marcos. The United States then crafted the end-game. Marcos and his family were extracted from Manila in a U.S. helicopter, providing a safe exit to Hawaii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
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