According to Roxana Bekemohammadi, the founder of the lobbying group the US Hydrogen Alliance, state-by-state incentives may be more important to hydrogen’s success in the US in the upcoming year than an increase in federal funding. Influence Map study, US lobbying is preliminary evidence that powerful fossil fuel interests are looking to influence and profit from a second Trump presidency. Numerous strategies presently being used by businesses are similar to those used during the first Trump administration, suggesting that well-known fossil fuel strategies will continue to influence politics and climate policy. It is anticipated that President Trump would fulfill his pledges to revoke all significant environmental laws, withdraw from the Paris Agreement, and utilize his executive authority right away to undo policies of the Biden administration, such as the LNG export ban.
State-driven hydrogen advocacy
This study presents three important findings about corporate policy impact that are probably going to hold during the second Trump term, combining new data with insights from the first Trump administration. Along with a change from defensive legal challenges to aggressive repeal demands, the data reveals that corporations are paying a lot of attention to issues related to fossil fuel infrastructure and the future of gas, which is expected to get worse by 2025. Federal and state policies about fossil gas and permitting reform, together with automotive rules, have garnered the highest support in the US database. This support has come from a variety of sources, including influential organizations like the American Gas Association. Recent top-line statements endorsing the Paris Agreement have been made by some companies, such as ExxonMobil, but they make no mention of the necessity of accelerating rather than slowing the energy transition or of a deeper regulation repeal. Corporate organizations are probably going to keep using particular, nuanced climate narratives that defend and support fossil fuels, especially in the public’s perception, through 2025. The briefing highlights a significant overlap in “consumer choice” language between politicians and industry interests in the most recent US election as an illustration of this tendency.
Hydrogen Alliance goes local
Since 2015, InfluenceMap analysis in the US has increased gradually, and as of right now, the LobbyMap database includes 37 industry groups and 141 US-based firms. In addition to other factors, including the industry’s importance to climate change, the expansion of the LobbyMap database gives priority to the biggest businesses as determined by the Forbes Global 2000. Analysis has been conducted throughout several administrations, including the first term of President Trump. Out of the 178 fully evaluated US-based organizations, including businesses and trade groups, 25 (14%) are pursuing climate policy by science-based policy recommendations, 83 (47%) exhibit partially aligned advocacy, and 70 (39%) are not by scientific recommendations. In contrast, Europe has a significantly lower percentage of severely negative (misaligned) organizations and a higher percentage of positively engaging businesses. While 147 (63%) are partially aligned and 45 (19%) are misaligned, 42 (18%) of the evaluated European enterprises and associations are acting by IPCC recommendations.
Shaping State Hydrogen Policies
Similar to other regions, the results indicate that the highest percentage of businesses fall into the partially aligned category. These are businesses that take a range of stances on various subjects, either positively or negatively, or that compromise between being completely in favor of or against a cause. This category includes a large number of utility, industrial, and car corporations in the United States. Given that their decarbonization efforts are still in progress, these businesses are heavily involved in the energy transition and are probably impacted by money from the Inflation Reduction Act. Numerous unfavorable industry associations, such as the American Petroleum Institute and American Gas Association, contribute to the US having a higher percentage of misaligned entities than other regions. The US lobbying stands out for having a significant number of actively obstructive industry associations that consistently oppose climate ambition, even though misaligned interests do not represent the entire economy. Of the 37 groups evaluated in the US lobbying, the majority (65%) are actively engaging in highly negative climate policy. In comparison, less than one-third of the evaluated groups in Europe are misaligned. These US trade groups frequently speak for the sizable and influential domestic oil and gas industry.
Targeting states for hydrogen growth
The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) was the target of numerous lawsuits from industry over its climate-related rules before President Trump took office in 2017. For instance, the US Chamber of Commerce spearheaded a lawsuit opposing the Obama administration’s Clean Power Plan. The administration’s decision to substitute a weaker Clean Power Plan for the Obama-era one was then endorsed by at least seven significant US associations: the American Chamber of Commerce, National Association of Manufacturers (NAM), National Mining Association, American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC), Auto Alliance, American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers (AFPM), and American Petroleum Institute (API).